Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.316172 0.368228 0.426306 0.495936 0.577199 0.669108 0.781044
2025-02-02 0.242559 0.313518 0.401387 0.518358 0.670284 0.861351 1.120590
2025-02-09 0.201712 0.279939 0.383964 0.532760 0.740790 1.022314 1.434004
2025-02-16 0.171323 0.251894 0.365425 0.537614 0.793279 1.160672 1.732047
2025-02-23 0.146733 0.226727 0.345211 0.534237 0.829900 1.277465 2.011796
2025-03-02 0.124815 0.201541 0.320326 0.518550 0.843317 1.358298 2.244669
2025-03-09 0.113720 0.191228 0.316218 0.533650 0.905504 1.521070 2.628739
2025-03-16 0.102025 0.178068 0.305376 0.535470 0.944848 1.649966 2.972027
2025-03-23 0.093580 0.169123 0.300110 0.545508 0.998641 1.808830 3.387944
2025-03-30 0.083283 0.155463 0.284765 0.535232 1.014014 1.900409 3.691786
2025-04-06 0.075185 0.144720 0.273199 0.530099 1.037623 2.008943 4.041011
2025-04-13 0.069022 0.136812 0.265826 0.531763 1.073998 2.145344 4.462436
2025-04-20 0.066212 0.135232 0.270619 0.558513 1.164823 2.402561 5.172522
2025-04-27 0.063328 0.133163 0.274239 0.583462 1.255570 2.672109 5.949884
2025-05-04 0.059838 0.129365 0.273811 0.599721 1.329791 2.916189 6.706403
2025-05-11 0.055723 0.123698 0.268748 0.605197 1.380931 3.116532 7.392440
2025-05-18 0.051275 0.116740 0.260051 0.601387 1.410448 3.272077 7.995712
2025-05-25 0.046254 0.107871 0.246084 0.583688 1.405285 3.347038 8.414829
2025-06-01 0.044219 0.105654 0.246876 0.600724 1.485080 3.632441 9.398970
2025-06-08 0.041354 0.101117 0.241747 0.602779 1.528342 3.834664 10.199633
2025-06-15 0.039317 0.098339 0.240450 0.614105 1.596303 4.106886 11.224720
2025-06-22 0.036134 0.092332 0.230614 0.602510 1.603530 4.224740 11.848620
2025-06-29 0.033562 0.087580 0.223357 0.596718 1.625379 4.383724 12.611105